Argentina
HIGH RISKVerified events
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Argentina's economic indicators show elevated risk signals. The strongest signal is in Fiscal Policy Change (36753 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Elections And Voting and Economic Recession. Across all categories, 192,002 precedent windows were identified — meaning Argentina's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Fiscal Policy Change
1.22
36753 prec.
Elections And Voting
0.93
20668 prec.
Economic Recession
0.90
15102 prec.
Political Corruption
0.90
13995 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.71
14605 prec.
Political Repression
0.61
11045 prec.
Currency Crisis
0.58
7342 prec.
Constitutional Change
0.47
9744 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.41
16539 prec.
Political Violence
0.37
6087 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Argentina
180 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2024
Milei's Shock Therapy — Peso Devalued 50% on Day One
fiscal policy change
2024
Omnibus Law Battle in Congress
constitutional change
2024
Argentina Achieves Fiscal Surplus for First Time in Decades
fiscal policy change
2024
General Strike Against Milei Economic Program
labor and industrial relations
2024
Inflation Begins to Decline Under Milei
fiscal policy change
2024
Milei Withdraws Argentina from UN Migration Pact and Multilateral Realignment
multilateral agreement
2023
Severe Drought Devastates Agricultural Sector
natural disaster
2023
Inflation Reaches 211% — Historic Crisis
currency crisis
2023
Javier Milei Wins Presidential Election
elections and voting
2022
Assassination Attempt Against Cristina Kirchner
political violence
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.