Quantitative
Geopolitical
Intelligence
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. We find historical precedents in World Bank data spanning 214 countries and 58 indicators.
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Argentina14 precedent windows, 11 preceded fiscal_policy_change in analogous economies
RussiaCross-regional pattern convergence from 8 predictor countries
EthiopiaStructural indicators mirror pre-transition trajectories in 5 economies
How It Works
Detect Indicator Relationships
We find statistically significant correlations between economic indicators across 214 countries spanning decades of World Bank data.
Match Historical Precedents
When Country A's trajectory today mirrors Country B's trajectory before a known geopolitical event, we surface that precedent.
Score & Rank Risk Candidates
Z-score normalization and rank fusion ensemble produce country-level risk tiers. Analysts examine the evidence, not a black-box score.
Start exploring geopolitical risk
Browse country intelligence profiles built on decades of economic data and historically verified precedents.
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