Quantitative
Geopolitical
Intelligence
Across 180+ countries and territories, every country is scored against the shapes that came before the events that matter, and shown alongside the real historical cases it most resembles. Evidence you can open, not a black box.
On the radar right now
Countries whose recent signals are tracing an event recipe especially closely this release. Open any card to see how that country is following the recipe, signal by signal. A measure of resemblance, not a forecast.
How it works
We learn the shapes
From decades of the historical record, we learn the signal shapes that tend to run ahead of each kind of event, a currency crisis, a coup, a wave of unrest. We call each shape a recipe.
We watch every country
Across 180+ countries and territories, we track how each one's recent signals are moving and compare them, quarter by quarter, against every recipe.
We show you the evidence
See how closely a country is tracing a recipe right now, signal by signal, and the real historical cases it most resembles. A measure of resemblance, not a forecast.
Want the full picture? Read the methodology.
Why QGI
Evidence, not a black box
Every score opens to the signals behind it and the real historical cases it resembles. You see the working, not a verdict.
History, not opinion
Scores come from the historical record, not from analyst hunches or curated country lists. The same method runs on every country.
180+ countries & territories
Global coverage, refreshed every quarter. Every country is read against the full catalogue of event recipes, every release.
Resemblance, not a forecast
We tell you what today rhymes with, honestly. Tracing a recipe is a structural analogue an analyst can weigh, not a prediction.
See what the world is rhyming with
Open Dashboard for today’s closest matches, or browse every country and recipe.
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