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Data Last Updated
2026-06
QUANTITATIVE
GEOPOLITICAL
INTELLIGENCE
Country Atlas

What does QGI say about these countries, right now?

Every country we track, with the trends its recent signals resemble, the indicators behind each score, how it has moved, and its closest historical analogues. Scores measure resemblance to past pre-event conditions, not the chance an event will happen. Open any card for the full country view.

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Showing 214 countries
REGION

Africa

51 countries
Eritrea flag
Eritrea
Africa
83COMPOUND RISK
top: 100 Foreign Intervention
Rwanda flag
Rwanda
Africa
82COMPOUND RISK
top: 100 Constitutional Change
Chad flag
Chad
Africa
82COMPOUND RISK
top: 100 Economic Recession
South Sudan flag
South Sudan
Africa
82COMPOUND RISK
top: 100 Transitional Justice
Burundi flag
Burundi
Africa
82COMPOUND RISK
top: 100 Government Formation
Ivory Coast flag
Ivory Coast
Africa
82COMPOUND RISK
top: 100 Religious & Social Movement
Uganda flag
Uganda
Africa
82COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Human Rights Reform
Cabo Verde flag
Cabo Verde
Africa
81COMPOUND RISK
top: 97 Elections & Voting
Eswatini flag
Eswatini
Africa
81COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Banking & Financial Crisis
Guinea flag
Guinea
Africa
81COMPOUND RISK
top: 100 Civil War & Insurgency
Togo flag
Togo
Africa
81COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Ethnic & Communal Conflict
Tanzania flag
Tanzania
Africa
80COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Military Coup
Botswana flag
Botswana
Africa
80COMPOUND RISK
top: 97 Fiscal Policy Change
Zambia flag
Zambia
Africa
80COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Economic Liberalization
Republic of the Congo flag
Republic of the Congo
Africa
80COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Peacekeeping & Peace Process
Algeria flag
Algeria
Africa
80COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Military Policy & Reform
Madagascar flag
Madagascar
Africa
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Political Corruption
Namibia flag
Namibia
Africa
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Multilateral Agreement
Lesotho flag
Lesotho
Africa
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Mass Protest
Angola flag
Angola
Africa
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Infrastructure Project
Seychelles flag
Seychelles
Africa
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 97 Democratic Transition
Morocco flag
Morocco
Africa
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 96 Agricultural Policy
Malawi flag
Malawi
Africa
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Regional Integration
Djibouti flag
Djibouti
Africa
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Economic Growth Milestone
Guinea-Bissau flag
Guinea-Bissau
Africa
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 97 Banking & Financial Crisis
Senegal flag
Senegal
Africa
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Economic Recession
Sao Tome and Principe flag
Sao Tome and Principe
Africa
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 94 Bilateral Treaty
The Gambia flag
The Gambia
Africa
78COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Economic Growth Milestone
Niger flag
Niger
Africa
78COMPOUND RISK
top: 97 Military Coup
Cameroon flag
Cameroon
Africa
78COMPOUND RISK
top: 94 Democratic Transition
Mauritius flag
Mauritius
Africa
77COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Transitional Justice
Ghana flag
Ghana
Africa
77COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Political Corruption
Sierra Leone flag
Sierra Leone
Africa
77COMPOUND RISK
top: 96 Banking & Financial Crisis
Comoros flag
Comoros
Africa
77COMPOUND RISK
top: 100 Economic Growth Milestone
Mauritania flag
Mauritania
Africa
77COMPOUND RISK
top: 94 Military Coup
Liberia flag
Liberia
Africa
77COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Terrorist Attack
Gabon flag
Gabon
Africa
76COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Infrastructure Project
Benin flag
Benin
Africa
76COMPOUND RISK
top: 97 Economic Growth Milestone
Somalia flag
Somalia
Africa
65COMPOUND RISK
top: 90 Terrorist Attack
Nigeria flag
Nigeria
Africa
65COMPOUND RISK
top: 100 Political Violence
Burkina Faso flag
Burkina Faso
Africa
63COMPOUND RISK
top: 94 Military Coup
Mozambique flag
Mozambique
Africa
62COMPOUND RISK
top: 97 Terrorist Attack
Sudan flag
Sudan
Africa
60COMPOUND RISK
top: 92 Foreign Intervention
South Africa flag
South Africa
Africa
59COMPOUND RISK
top: 95 Labor Action
Zimbabwe flag
Zimbabwe
Africa
59COMPOUND RISK
top: 94 Mass Protest
Kenya flag
Kenya
Africa
57COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Ethnic & Communal Conflict
Equatorial Guinea flag
Equatorial Guinea
Africa
57COMPOUND RISK
top: 93 Political Corruption
Mali flag
Mali
Africa
55COMPOUND RISK
top: 84 Military Coup
Ethiopia flag
Ethiopia
Africa
54COMPOUND RISK
top: 90 Civil War & Insurgency
DR Congo flag
DR Congo
Africa
54COMPOUND RISK
top: 72 Humanitarian Crisis
Central African Republic flag
Central African Republic
Africa
52COMPOUND RISK
top: 75 Foreign Intervention
REGION

Americas

24 countries
El Salvador flag
El Salvador
Americas
82COMPOUND RISK
top: 100 Interstate War
United States flag
United States
Americas
81COMPOUND RISK
top: 97 Banking & Financial Crisis
Jamaica flag
Jamaica
Americas
80COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Transitional Justice
Honduras flag
Honduras
Americas
80COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Multilateral Agreement
Canada flag
Canada
Americas
80COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Military Policy & Reform
Paraguay flag
Paraguay
Americas
80COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Political Violence
Dominican Republic flag
Dominican Republic
Americas
80COMPOUND RISK
top: 100 Political Violence
Cuba flag
Cuba
Americas
80COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Sanctions & Arms Embargo
Ecuador flag
Ecuador
Americas
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 97 Political Repression
Guatemala flag
Guatemala
Americas
78COMPOUND RISK
top: 100 Multilateral Agreement
Costa Rica flag
Costa Rica
Americas
78COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Elections & Voting
Panama flag
Panama
Americas
78COMPOUND RISK
top: 97 Transitional Justice
Peru flag
Peru
Americas
77COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Political Corruption
Uruguay flag
Uruguay
Americas
77COMPOUND RISK
top: 97 Government Formation
Trinidad and Tobago flag
Trinidad and Tobago
Americas
71COMPOUND RISK
top: 91 Democratic Transition
Venezuela flag
Venezuela
Americas
70COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Currency Crisis
Colombia flag
Colombia
Americas
66COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Political Violence
Nicaragua flag
Nicaragua
Americas
56COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Political Repression
Haiti flag
Haiti
Americas
55COMPOUND RISK
top: 76 Humanitarian Crisis
Argentina flag
Argentina
Americas
49COMPOUND RISK
top: 82 Monetary Policy Change
Brazil flag
Brazil
Americas
42COMPOUND RISK
top: 65 Poverty & Inequality Crisis
Mexico flag
Mexico
Americas
38COMPOUND RISK
top: 54 Political Violence
Bolivia flag
Bolivia
Americas
36COMPOUND RISK
top: 62 Mass Protest
Chile flag
Chile
Americas
31COMPOUND RISK
top: 55 Multilateral Agreement
REGION

Asia-Pacific

9 countries
Afghanistan flag
Afghanistan
Asia-Pacific
70COMPOUND RISK
top: 97 Foreign Intervention
India flag
India
Asia-Pacific
66COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Executive Power Consolidation
Myanmar flag
Myanmar
Asia-Pacific
63COMPOUND RISK
top: 86 Political Repression
Indonesia flag
Indonesia
Asia-Pacific
61COMPOUND RISK
top: 89 Democratic Transition
Pakistan flag
Pakistan
Asia-Pacific
60COMPOUND RISK
top: 93 Terrorist Attack
Tajikistan flag
Tajikistan
Asia-Pacific
59COMPOUND RISK
top: 84 Foreign Intervention
Philippines flag
Philippines
Asia-Pacific
58COMPOUND RISK
top: 92 Political Violence
Turkmenistan flag
Turkmenistan
Asia-Pacific
53COMPOUND RISK
top: 88 Foreign Intervention
Sri Lanka flag
Sri Lanka
Asia-Pacific
42COMPOUND RISK
top: 65 Mass Protest
REGION

Europe

40 countries
Albania flag
Albania
Europe
82COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Political Repression
Netherlands flag
Netherlands
Europe
81COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Monetary Policy Change
Moldova flag
Moldova
Europe
80COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Interstate War
Belgium flag
Belgium
Europe
80COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Foreign Intervention
Sweden flag
Sweden
Europe
80COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Monetary Policy Change
Czechia flag
Czechia
Europe
80COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Political Corruption
Slovenia flag
Slovenia
Europe
80COMPOUND RISK
top: 100 Agricultural Policy
Italy flag
Italy
Europe
80COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Territorial Disputes
France flag
France
Europe
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Fiscal Policy Change
Slovakia flag
Slovakia
Europe
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 97 Ethnic & Communal Conflict
Denmark flag
Denmark
Europe
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 93 Regional Integration
Lithuania flag
Lithuania
Europe
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 97 Mass Protest
Iceland flag
Iceland
Europe
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Military Policy & Reform
Cyprus flag
Cyprus
Europe
79COMPOUND RISK
top: 100 Territorial Disputes
Norway flag
Norway
Europe
78COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Territorial Disputes
Spain flag
Spain
Europe
78COMPOUND RISK
top: 96 Monetary Policy Change
Montenegro flag
Montenegro
Europe
77COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Constitutional Change
Bosnia and Herzegovina flag
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Europe
77COMPOUND RISK
top: 96 Democratic Transition
Austria flag
Austria
Europe
77COMPOUND RISK
top: 96 Foreign Intervention
Switzerland flag
Switzerland
Europe
77COMPOUND RISK
top: 94 Fiscal Policy Change
Latvia flag
Latvia
Europe
77COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Economic Nationalization
Portugal flag
Portugal
Europe
76COMPOUND RISK
top: 96 Monetary Policy Change
Malta flag
Malta
Europe
76COMPOUND RISK
top: 95 Elections & Voting
Serbia flag
Serbia
Europe
76COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Economic Recession
Croatia flag
Croatia
Europe
75COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Religious & Social Movement
Bulgaria flag
Bulgaria
Europe
75COMPOUND RISK
top: 95 Ethnic & Communal Conflict
Luxembourg flag
Luxembourg
Europe
74COMPOUND RISK
top: 95 Economic Growth Milestone
Romania flag
Romania
Europe
74COMPOUND RISK
top: 95 Economic Nationalization
Russia flag
Russia
Europe
73COMPOUND RISK
top: 94 Foreign Intervention
North Macedonia flag
North Macedonia
Europe
71COMPOUND RISK
top: 97 Economic Nationalization
Finland flag
Finland
Europe
70COMPOUND RISK
top: 93 Elections & Voting
Belarus flag
Belarus
Europe
68COMPOUND RISK
top: 91 Sanctions & Arms Embargo
Estonia flag
Estonia
Europe
67COMPOUND RISK
top: 84 Economic Liberalization
Ireland flag
Ireland
Europe
60COMPOUND RISK
top: 81 Government Formation
Ukraine flag
Ukraine
Europe
57COMPOUND RISK
top: 78 Migration & Refugees
Greece flag
Greece
Europe
55COMPOUND RISK
top: 94 Fiscal Policy Change
Germany flag
Germany
Europe
40COMPOUND RISK
top: 69 Multilateral Agreement
Hungary flag
Hungary
Europe
33COMPOUND RISK
top: 58 Constitutional Change
Poland flag
Poland
Europe
33COMPOUND RISK
top: 57 Regional Integration
United Kingdom flag
United Kingdom
Europe
30COMPOUND RISK
top: 51 Cyberattack
REGION

MENA

10 countries
Syria flag
Syria
MENA
74COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Democratic Transition
Libya flag
Libya
MENA
68COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Civil War & Insurgency
Iraq flag
Iraq
MENA
68COMPOUND RISK
top: 98 Foreign Intervention
Lebanon flag
Lebanon
MENA
67COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Economic Recession
Yemen flag
Yemen
MENA
67COMPOUND RISK
top: 99 Foreign Intervention
Iran flag
Iran
MENA
62COMPOUND RISK
top: 100 Human Rights Violation
Israel flag
Israel
MENA
57COMPOUND RISK
top: 92 Diplomatic Rupture
Türkiye flag
Türkiye
MENA
57COMPOUND RISK
top: 71 Currency Crisis
Egypt flag
Egypt
MENA
42COMPOUND RISK
top: 66 Currency Crisis
Tunisia flag
Tunisia
MENA
0COMPOUND RISK
top: 48 Currency Crisis
214 countries in the corpus · 214 match at least one trend · 204 match 3 or more