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Reports

Intelligence Reports

Pattern-driven analysis of sovereign risk, geopolitical alignment, and structural divergence. Each report is generated from live pipeline data and is fully reproducible by design.

Latest

Sovereign Credit NoteMay 2026

Ukraine's Structural Mirror: What Bosnia 1996 Tells the Credit Desk About UKRAIN 2027

QGI places Ukraine's closest structural twin at Bosnia and Herzegovina (81% cosine, 16-point gap above the next-closest cluster). A falsifiable structural-credit thesis: Multilateral Agreement crossing 70/100 is the entry trigger, 60/100 floor with no CI narrowing is the exit.

Country AnalysisMay 2026

Ghana's Double Signal: The Ballot Box, the Barracks, and the Country Nobody Expected

QGI places Ghana at the 99th percentile of global election-stress in its April 2026 scoring run. Its closest structural peer is Mauritania at 99% cosine similarity, not Mali, not Burkina Faso. What that structural resemblance means for the six-month forward call.

Country AnalysisMay 2026

Burkina Faso's risk signature mirrors Mali 2010-2012 and CAR 2011-2013

Five risk domains light up together on Burkina Faso in our current bake. The same combination preceded the 2012 Mali coup and the 2013 Central African Republic collapse. What that structural resemblance means, and what it does not.

Coming Soon
Demo ReportApr 2026

FSI x QGI: Fragile-State Pattern Overlay

How QGI's structural-analogue patterns align with Fund for Peace's Fragile States Index, where they diverge, and what the divergence flags for analysts.