Ivory Coast
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Ivory Coast's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Fiscal Policy Change (20154 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Government Formation and Social Policy Reform. Across all categories, 78,278 precedent windows were identified — meaning Ivory Coast's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Ivory Coast
57 events (1990–present)1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
EU Deforestation Regulation Forces Cocoa Supply Chain Overhaul
environmental policy
2025
Presidential Election — Most Competitive Since Crisis Years Anticipated
elections and voting
2024
Ivory Coast Hosts and Wins AFCON 2024 — Historic National Triumph
sport and international event
2024
Cocoa Prices Hit Historic High Above $10,000 Per Tonne
economic growth milestone
2023
Henri Konan Bédié Dies — Last Figure of Post-Houphouët Triumvirate Gone
government formation
2022
49 Ivorian Soldiers Detained by Mali Junta — Regional Diplomatic Crisis
diplomatic rupture
2021
Gbagbo Returns to Ivory Coast After a Decade Abroad
peacekeeping and peace process
2020
Ouattara Seeks Third Term After PM Gon Coulibaly Dies — Constitutional Controversy
constitutional change
2019
Gbagbo Acquitted by ICC — Prosecution Finds Insufficient Evidence
transitional justice
2017
Cocoa Price Crash of 30 Percent Damages Farmer Incomes
economic recession
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.