Jordan
MODERATE RISKVerified events
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Jordan's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Mass Protest (6966 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Bilateral Treaty and Civil War And Insurgency. Across all categories, 78,523 precedent windows were identified — meaning Jordan's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Mass Protest
0.66
6966 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.65
15724 prec.
Civil War And Insurgency
0.58
3623 prec.
Terrorist Attack
0.51
4963 prec.
Economic Recession
0.50
5897 prec.
Migration And Refugees
0.48
5287 prec.
Elections And Voting
0.48
7103 prec.
Political Repression
0.42
3173 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.40
5868 prec.
Fiscal Policy Change
0.37
8468 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Jordan
106 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
Gaza War Aftermath and Reconstruction Planning
bilateral treaty
2025
Renewable Energy Expansion and Climate Adaptation
climate change and adaptation
2024
Jordan Intercepts Iranian Drones Targeting Israel
civil war and insurgency
2024
Economic Modernization Vision 2033
economic growth milestone
2023
Gaza War — Jordan's Diplomatic and Domestic Challenge
diplomatic rupture
2022
National Water Carrier Project Announced
infrastructure and urban development
2022
Energy Crisis and Jordan-Israel Gas Deal
energy policy and resources
2021
Royal Family Rift — Prince Hamzah Affair
political repression
2020
COVID-19 Pandemic — Strict Lockdown
public health and epidemics
2020
Deal of the Century Rejection
bilateral treaty
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.