Latvia
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Latvia's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Economic Growth (4749 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Social Policy Reform and Economic Reform. Across all categories, 29,452 precedent windows were identified — meaning Latvia's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Economic Growth
0.93
4749 prec.
Social Policy Reform
0.53
8032 prec.
Economic Reform
0.52
1943 prec.
Environmental Initiative
0.46
4999 prec.
Covid19 Response
0.42
1276 prec.
Public Sector Reform
0.40
904 prec.
Environmental Protection
0.38
2721 prec.
Economic Recovery
0.36
1101 prec.
Environmental Sustainability
0.31
482 prec.
Digital Transformation
0.29
1512 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Latvia
48 events (1990–present)1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2024
NATO Upgrades Latvia Battlegroup to Brigade-Level Presence
military policy and reform
2024
Latvia Completes Border Fence with Russia and Belarus
migration and refugees
2023
Edgars Rinkevics Elected as First Openly Gay Head of State in EU
government formation
2023
Latvia Strips Russian Language of Special Status in Law
constitutional change
2022
Latvia Responds to Russian Invasion of Ukraine
diplomatic rupture
2022
Latvia Dismantles Soviet-Era Victory Monument in Riga
cultural and heritage
2022
Latvia Raises Defense Spending to 2.5% of GDP Target
military policy and reform
2021
Latvia Faces Belarus-Orchestrated Migration Crisis
migration and refugees
2020
Latvia Implements COVID-19 State of Emergency
epidemic and pandemic
2019
Egils Levits Elected President of Latvia
government formation
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.