Luxembourg
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Luxembourg's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Economic Growth (1196 historical precedent windows). Also notable: International Diplomacy and Economic Diversification. Across all categories, 18,056 precedent windows were identified — meaning Luxembourg's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Economic Growth
0.41
1196 prec.
International Diplomacy
0.40
792 prec.
Economic Diversification
0.38
1075 prec.
Environmental Initiative
0.37
2776 prec.
Covid19 Response
0.35
936 prec.
Environmental Legislation
0.24
1280 prec.
Digital Transformation
0.21
1071 prec.
Renewable Energy Project
0.15
746 prec.
Financial Sector Reform
0.15
731 prec.
Renewable Energy Initiative
0.15
677 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Luxembourg
35 events (1990–present)1940s
1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2024
NATO Trident Juncture Role Highlights Defense Commitment
military policy and reform
2023
CSV Returns to Power Under Luc Frieden
government formation
2023
Housing Affordability Crisis Intensifies
poverty and inequality crisis
2021
Luxembourg Raises National Minimum Wage to Highest in EU
social policy reform
2020
Free Public Transport Launched Nationwide
infrastructure project
2019
Free Public Transport Announced for 2020
environmental policy
2018
Cannabis Legalization Bill Introduced
social policy reform
2017
Space Resources Law Enacted
digital policy
2015
Luxembourg Begins Automatic Tax Information Exchange
fiscal policy change
2014
Jean-Claude Juncker Elected President of European Commission
executive transition
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.