Australia
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Australia's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Government Formation (43540 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Human Rights Reform and Military Policy And Reform. Across all categories, 222,839 precedent windows were identified — meaning Australia's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Government Formation
0.73
43540 prec.
Human Rights Reform
0.57
14965 prec.
Military Policy And Reform
0.52
15679 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.52
31356 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.46
15410 prec.
Trade Agreement
0.38
17320 prec.
Energy Policy
0.29
12153 prec.
Political Corruption
0.26
9016 prec.
Flood And Cyclone
0.25
13862 prec.
Fiscal Policy Change
0.22
17704 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Australia
52 events (1990–present)1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2024
China Removes Wine Tariffs Completing Trade Normalisation
trade dispute
2023
Voice to Parliament Referendum Defeated
constitutional change
2023
AUKUS Submarine Pathway Details Announced
military policy and reform
2023
China Lifts Barley Tariffs as Diplomatic Relations Thaw
trade dispute
2022
Albanese Labor Government Elected Ending Coalition Rule
elections and voting
2022
Eastern Australia Floods Cause Billions in Damage
flood and cyclone
2021
AUKUS Security Pact Announced With US and UK
bilateral treaty
2021
French Submarine Contract Cancelled in AUKUS Pivot
diplomatic rupture
2020
COVID-19 Border Closures and Economic Response
epidemic and pandemic
2020
China Imposes Trade Sanctions on Australian Exports
trade dispute
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.