Malta
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Malta's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Economic Growth (3795 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Economic Reform and Economic Recovery. Across all categories, 26,071 precedent windows were identified — meaning Malta's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Economic Growth
0.67
3795 prec.
Economic Reform
0.51
3069 prec.
Economic Recovery
0.44
1961 prec.
Political Reform
0.35
1297 prec.
Environmental Initiative
0.33
4052 prec.
Economic Initiative
0.32
1187 prec.
Economic Challenge
0.29
1365 prec.
Trade Agreement
0.29
905 prec.
Environmental Conservation
0.27
2411 prec.
Health Improvement
0.23
1291 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Malta
36 events (1990–present)1940s
1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2024
EU Infringement Proceedings Over Citizenship-by-Investment
trade dispute
2023
Caruana Galizia Murder Trial Concludes with Convictions
transitional justice
2022
Labour Wins Third Consecutive Election Under Abela
elections and voting
2022
Malta Removed from FATF Grey List
economic recovery
2020
Robert Abela Becomes Prime Minister
executive transition
2020
FATF Grey Listing Threatens Malta's Financial Reputation
banking and financial crisis
2019
Mediterranean Migration Crisis Strains Malta's Capacity
migration and refugees
2019
PM Muscat Resigns Amid Caruana Galizia Murder Investigation
political corruption
2018
Blockchain and Cryptocurrency Regulatory Framework Adopted
digital policy
2017
Daphne Caruana Galizia Assassinated by Car Bomb
political violence
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.