Montenegro
HIGH RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Montenegro's economic indicators show elevated risk signals. The strongest signal is in Human Rights Violation (1481 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Constitutional Change and Judicial Reform. Across all categories, 14,091 precedent windows were identified — meaning Montenegro's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Human Rights Violation
1.21
1481 prec.
Constitutional Change
1.01
2019 prec.
Judicial Reform
0.78
1100 prec.
Economic Growth
0.71
1759 prec.
Economic Reform
0.66
1664 prec.
Political Reform
0.63
904 prec.
Economic Recovery
0.56
1078 prec.
Anticorruption Measure
0.48
848 prec.
Covid19 Response
0.39
760 prec.
Economic Diversification
0.36
764 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Montenegro
43 events (1990–present)1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
All 33 EU Accession Chapters Opened for Screening
diplomatic relations
2024
Record Tourism Season Underscores Economic Dependence
economic growth
2024
Coup Plot Retrial Acquits All Defendants
judicial reform
2023
Djukanovic Loses Presidential Election to Milatovic
elections and voting
2023
Snap Parliamentary Elections Produce Fragmented Parliament
elections and voting
2023
Spajic Government Formed After Months of Deadlock
government formation
2022
Krivokapic Government Falls in No-Confidence Vote
government formation
2022
Minority Government of Dritan Abazovic Formed and Collapsed
government formation
2022
Citizenship-by-Investment Program Ended Under EU Pressure
fiscal policy change
2021
Serbia-Aligned Bishops Enthroned Amid Political Tensions
protest and civil unrest
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.