New Zealand
HIGH RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
New Zealand's economic indicators show elevated risk signals. The strongest signal is in Terrorist Attack (2311 historical precedent windows). Also notable: International Relation and Trade Agreement. Across all categories, 15,423 precedent windows were identified — meaning New Zealand's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Terrorist Attack
1.86
2311 prec.
International Relation
0.49
958 prec.
Trade Agreement
0.46
990 prec.
Environmental Policy
0.29
1436 prec.
Covid19 Pandemic Response
0.25
612 prec.
Economic Reform
0.24
528 prec.
Public Health Campaign
0.22
996 prec.
Renewable Energy Project
0.18
704 prec.
Economic Diversification
0.16
458 prec.
Environmental Initiative
0.14
653 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — New Zealand
48 events (1990–present)1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2024
Treaty Principles Bill Sparks Nationwide Maori Protests
mass protest
2024
Government Reverses Smokefree 2025 Legislation
public health reform
2023
Jacinda Ardern Resigns as Prime Minister
government formation
2023
Cyclone Gabrielle Causes Worst Flooding in Decades
flood and cyclone
2023
Christopher Luxon Leads National-ACT-NZ First Coalition
government formation
2022
Anti-Mandate Protest Occupies Parliament Grounds
mass protest
2021
Housing Crisis Declared as Prices Surge
poverty and inequality crisis
2021
AUKUS Pact Announced Without New Zealand Inclusion
multilateral agreement
2021
New Zealand Shifts to Living with COVID After Delta Outbreak
public health reform
2020
COVID-19 Elimination Strategy and Strict Border Closure
epidemic and pandemic
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.