Pakistan
HIGH RISKVerified events
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Pakistan's economic indicators show elevated risk signals. The strongest signal is in Civil War And Insurgency (7029 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Terrorist Attack and Military Coup. Across all categories, 54,702 precedent windows were identified — meaning Pakistan's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Civil War And Insurgency
1.58
7029 prec.
Terrorist Attack
0.91
4757 prec.
Military Coup
0.90
3578 prec.
Political Repression
0.80
3462 prec.
Elections And Voting
0.72
4966 prec.
Economic Recession
0.72
4123 prec.
Constitutional Change
0.67
4890 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.54
3672 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.54
6670 prec.
Fiscal Policy Change
0.46
3465 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Pakistan
134 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
Imran Khan Remains Imprisoned — Legal Battles Continue
political repression
2025
TTP Insurgency Escalates in Former FATA Regions
insurgency and guerrilla
2025
CPEC Phase II Development Accelerates
foreign investment and aid
2024
February Elections — PTI Wins Despite Crackdown
elections and voting
2024
26th Constitutional Amendment Restructures Judiciary
constitutional change
2024
Pakistan Economy Shows Fragile Stabilization
fiscal policy change
2023
Imran Khan Arrested — PTI Crackdown and Civil-Military Confrontation
political repression
2023
Economic Crisis — Pakistan Near Default
economic recession
2023
TTP Insurgency Escalates in Former FATA Regions
insurgency and guerrilla
2022
Devastating Monsoon Floods Cover One Third of Pakistan
natural disaster
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.