Peru
INDICATIVE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Peru's economic indicators show baseline risk signals. The strongest signal is in Fiscal Policy Change (8718 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Government Formation and Social Policy Reform. Across all categories, 26,590 precedent windows were identified — meaning Peru's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
| Rank | Category | Salience | Precedents | Last Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fiscal Policy Change | 0.39 | 6152 | 2025 |
| 2 | Government Formation | 0.33 | 7791 | 2025 |
| 3 | Social Policy Reform | 0.04 | 3159 | 2025 |
| 4 | Flood And Cyclone | -0.68 | 264 | 2017 |
Curated Events — Peru
63 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
Organized Crime and Gang Violence Escalates
Organized Crime
2024
Political Stalemate and Governance Paralysis Persist
Political Instability
2023
Castillo's Self-Coup Attempt Leads to Impeachment and Arrest
Democratic Backsliding
2023
Boluarte Government Kills Dozens of Protesters
State Repression
2022
Castillo Faces Multiple Impeachment Attempts
Constitutional Crisis
2021
Pedro Castillo Wins Presidency from Rural Obscurity
Elections
2020
Peru Cycles Through Three Presidents in One Week
Constitutional Crisis
2020
COVID-19 Pandemic: Peru Among World's Hardest Hit
Public Health Crisis
2019
Vizcarra Dissolves Congress in Constitutional Standoff
Constitutional Crisis
2019
Former Presidents Prosecuted in Odebrecht Cases
Corruption Scandal
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.