Qatar
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Qatar's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Human Rights Reform (733 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Economic Growth and Trade Agreement. Across all categories, 12,236 precedent windows were identified — meaning Qatar's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Human Rights Reform
0.66
733 prec.
Economic Growth
0.59
926 prec.
Trade Agreement
0.58
1037 prec.
Economic Diversification
0.56
753 prec.
Covid19 Response
0.34
612 prec.
Environmental Initiative
0.29
1076 prec.
Economic Stimulu
0.25
612 prec.
Environmental Policy
0.24
924 prec.
Economic Reform
0.22
505 prec.
Energy Sector Development
0.20
472 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Qatar
45 events (1990–present)1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
Qatar Brokers Gaza Ceasefire Agreement
peacekeeping and peace process
2024
North Field Expansion Mega-Project Advances
oil and gas
2024
Qatar Continues Gaza Ceasefire Shuttle Diplomacy
peacekeeping and peace process
2023
Qatar Mediates Israel-Hamas Hostage Negotiations
peacekeeping and peace process
2022
Qatar Hosts FIFA World Cup
sport and international event
2021
Al Ula Declaration Ends Three-and-a-Half-Year Blockade
regional integration
2021
Qatar Facilitates Mass Evacuation from Afghanistan
migration and refugees
2020
US-Taliban Peace Agreement Signed in Doha
peacekeeping and peace process
2020
Qatar Abolishes Kafala Exit Visa and Reforms Labor Laws
human rights reform
2019
Qatar Withdraws from OPEC
energy policy
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.