Bangladesh
MODERATE RISKVerified events
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Bangladesh's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Social Policy Reform (8157 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Government Formation and Fiscal Policy Change. Across all categories, 25,277 precedent windows were identified — meaning Bangladesh's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
| Rank | Category | Salience | Precedents | Last Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Government Formation | 0.54 | 4752 | 1991 |
| 2 | Social Policy Reform | 0.10 | 2751 | 2013 |
| 3 | Fiscal Policy Change | -0.34 | 1782 | 2004 |
| 4 | Military Policy And Reform | -0.76 | 2177 | 1976 |
Curated Events — Bangladesh
52 events (1990–present)1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2026
LDC Graduation Scheduled: Bangladesh to Exit Least Developed Country Status
trade and commerce
2025
Rohingya Camp Violence and Security Deterioration
migration and refugees
2024
Student Quota Protests and Downfall of Sheikh Hasina
social movements and protest
2024
Muhammad Yunus Heads Interim Government
government formation
2023
IMF $4.7 Billion Loan Approved amid Macroeconomic Stress
economic recession
2022
Padma Bridge Inaugurated
infrastructure and urban development
2022
Foreign Exchange Reserve Crisis and IMF Bailout Talks
economic recession
2022
Dhaka Metro Rail First Section Opens
infrastructure and urban development
2021
Bangladesh Celebrates 50 Years of Independence
government formation
2021
Protests Over Modi Visit Turn Deadly
social movements and protest
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.