Romania
INDICATIVE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Romania's economic indicators show baseline risk signals. The strongest signal is in Bilateral Treaty (9003 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Government Formation and Fiscal Policy Change. Across all categories, 29,518 precedent windows were identified — meaning Romania's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Romania
54 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2024
Presidential Election Annulled After Far-Right Georgescu TikTok Surge
Elections
2023
Romania Partially Joins Schengen Area After Decade of Exclusion
European Integration
2022
Russia's Invasion of Ukraine Transforms Romania's Security Posture
Security
2021
Healthcare System Crisis During COVID Delta Wave
Public Health
2019
Social Democrat Leader Dragnea Convicted and Imprisoned
Rule of Law
2018
DNA Chief Kövesi Removed Amid Political Assault on Anticorruption Institutions
Rule of Law
2017
Emergency Ordinance to Decriminalize Corruption Triggers Record Protests
Political Unrest
2015
Colectiv Nightclub Fire Kills 64 and Triggers Political Earthquake
Political Unrest
2014
Klaus Iohannis Elected President in Historic Upset
Elections
2013
Roșia Montană Protests: Mass Environmental and Anti-Corruption Demonstrations
Political Unrest
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.