Saudi Arabia
HIGH RISKVerified events
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Saudi Arabia's economic indicators show elevated risk signals. The strongest signal is in Civil War And Insurgency (4605 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Terrorist Attack and Bilateral Treaty. Across all categories, 40,600 precedent windows were identified — meaning Saudi Arabia's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Civil War And Insurgency
1.28
4605 prec.
Terrorist Attack
0.86
3288 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.75
6849 prec.
Fiscal Policy Change
0.66
3545 prec.
Economic Recession
0.53
1690 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.53
2694 prec.
Government Formation
0.53
5374 prec.
Energy Policy
0.49
3102 prec.
Political Corruption
0.42
2150 prec.
Military Policy And Reform
0.41
1647 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Saudi Arabia
118 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
Saudi Arabia-Yemen Ceasefire Consolidation
peacekeeping and peace process
2025
Saudi Arabia Advances Green Hydrogen Exports
energy policy and resources
2024
Gaza War Impact on Saudi Policy
bilateral treaty
2024
Vision 2030 Midpoint Assessment
economic growth milestone
2024
Saudi Aramco Remains World's Most Profitable Company
energy policy and resources
2023
Saudi-Iran Normalization Agreement
diplomatic rupture
2023
Saudi Arabia and Potential Israel Normalization
bilateral treaty
2023
Saudi Arabia Joins BRICS
international alliances
2022
Saudi-Iran Diplomatic Rapprochement
diplomatic rupture
2022
OPEC+ Defies Biden Pressure on Production
energy policy and resources
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.