Albania
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Albania's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Fiscal Policy Change (43833 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Mass Protest and Bilateral Treaty. Across all categories, 200,613 precedent windows were identified — meaning Albania's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Fiscal Policy Change
0.75
43833 prec.
Mass Protest
0.64
28944 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.51
45022 prec.
Democratic Transition
0.28
24547 prec.
Digital Policy
-0.04
10547 prec.
Civil War And Insurgency
-0.13
17889 prec.
Flood And Cyclone
-0.14
10836 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
-0.41
9377 prec.
Foreign Intervention
-1.01
7206 prec.
Territorial Disputes
-1.66
2412 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Albania
45 events (1990–present)1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
Albania Opens Final EU Negotiating Cluster
regional integration
2024
Albania Opens Cluster 4 EU Negotiating Chapters
regional integration
2023
Berisha Placed Under House Arrest on Corruption Charges
transitional justice
2022
First EU Accession Conference Opens Formal Negotiations
regional integration
2022
Tirana Hosts EU-Western Balkans Summit
multilateral agreement
2021
Rama Wins Historic Third Term with Parliamentary Supermajority
elections and voting
2021
US Designates Berisha as Persona Non Grata for Corruption
political corruption
2020
EU Decides to Open Accession Negotiations with Albania
regional integration
2020
COVID-19 Pandemic Prompts State of Natural Disaster Declaration
epidemic and pandemic
2019
Opposition Boycotts Parliament and Surrenders Mandates
mass protest
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.