Singapore
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Singapore's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Fiscal Policy Change (5790 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Bilateral Treaty and Government Formation. Across all categories, 30,709 precedent windows were identified — meaning Singapore's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Fiscal Policy Change
0.56
5790 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.43
6558 prec.
Government Formation
0.43
6864 prec.
Social Policy Reform
0.16
4242 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.03
2388 prec.
Infrastructure Project
-0.00
2062 prec.
Digital Policy
-0.06
1061 prec.
Education Reform
-0.09
286 prec.
Environmental Policy
-0.29
499 prec.
Military Policy And Reform
-0.47
959 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Singapore
45 events (1990–present)1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
GE2025 Delivers Strong Mandate for PM Wong with 65.6% Vote Share
elections and voting
2024
Lawrence Wong Sworn In as Singapore's Fourth Prime Minister
government formation
2023
S. Iswaran Corruption Case Shakes Political Establishment
political corruption
2023
Tharman Shanmugaratnam Elected President with 70.4% of Vote
elections and voting
2022
Lawrence Wong Named PAP Fourth-Generation Leader
government formation
2022
Singapore Condemns Russia's Invasion of Ukraine and Imposes Sanctions
sanctions and arms embargo
2021
Singapore Welcomes AUKUS as Contribution to Regional Stability
multilateral agreement
2020
COVID-19 Circuit Breaker Lockdown Imposed
epidemic and pandemic
2020
Massive COVID-19 Outbreak in Migrant Worker Dormitories
epidemic and pandemic
2020
GE2020 Gives Workers Party Record 10 Parliamentary Seats
elections and voting
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.