Slovakia
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Slovakia's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Presidential Election (927 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Energy Policy and Judicial Reform. Across all categories, 12,693 precedent windows were identified — meaning Slovakia's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Presidential Election
0.67
927 prec.
Energy Policy
0.65
1433 prec.
Judicial Reform
0.49
587 prec.
Economic Growth
0.45
840 prec.
Economic Reform
0.45
534 prec.
Parliamentary Election
0.44
552 prec.
Regional Cooperation
0.43
725 prec.
Social Policy Reform
0.41
2216 prec.
International Relation
0.40
787 prec.
Environmental Initiative
0.36
1429 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Slovakia
47 events (1990–present)1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
Slovakia threatens Ukrainian refugee aid cuts over gas transit dispute
diplomatic rupture
2025
Constitutional amendment restricts gender recognition to binary
human rights violation
2025
Mass protests erupt against Fico's judicial reform package
mass protest
2024
Fico government dismantles anti-corruption institutions
political corruption
2024
Government replaces public broadcaster with state-controlled STVR
political repression
2024
Peter Pellegrini elected president as Fico ally
elections and voting
2024
PM Fico shot five times in assassination attempt
political violence
2023
Fico returns to power with pro-Russian foreign policy pivot
elections and voting
2022
Slovakia receives largest Ukrainian refugee influx in its history
migration and refugees
2022
Heger government loses confidence vote amid coalition collapse
government formation
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.