Slovenia
HIGH RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Slovenia's economic indicators show elevated risk signals. The strongest signal is in Economic Recession (1404 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Presidential Election and Environmental Initiative. Across all categories, 7,942 precedent windows were identified — meaning Slovenia's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Economic Recession
1.39
1404 prec.
Presidential Election
0.48
505 prec.
Environmental Initiative
0.28
834 prec.
Economic Growth
0.28
445 prec.
Economic Reform
0.17
368 prec.
Economic Recovery Plan
0.13
294 prec.
Environmental Policy
0.10
458 prec.
Digital Transformation
0.09
306 prec.
Infrastructure Development
0.08
887 prec.
Constitutional Amendment
0.07
190 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Slovenia
42 events (1990–present)1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
NLB Privatization Completed After Decade-Long Process
economic liberalization
2024
Parliament Recognizes Palestinian Statehood
bilateral treaty
2024
Slovenia Begins UN Security Council Non-Permanent Seat
multilateral agreement
2022
Robert Golob's Freedom Movement Wins Landslide Victory
elections and voting
2021
Second EU Council Presidency Under Jansa Government
regional integration
2020
Jansa Returns as PM After Sarec Resignation
government formation
2020
COVID-19 Lockdown and Emergency Powers Declared
epidemic and pandemic
2020
Weekly Anti-Government Protests Begin in Ljubljana
mass protest
2018
Jansa's SDS Wins Election but Sarec Forms Government
government formation
2017
Piran Bay Arbitration Tribunal Issues Final Award
territorial disputes
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.