South Korea
HIGH RISKVerified events
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
South Korea's economic indicators show elevated risk signals. The strongest signal is in Elections And Voting (2528 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Constitutional Change and Political Corruption. Across all categories, 17,986 precedent windows were identified — meaning South Korea's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Elections And Voting
1.07
2528 prec.
Constitutional Change
0.92
1743 prec.
Political Corruption
0.85
1523 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.80
4202 prec.
Political Repression
0.68
736 prec.
Humanitarian Crisis
0.61
742 prec.
Terrorist Attack
0.50
531 prec.
Economic Recession
0.37
849 prec.
Democratic Transition
0.37
763 prec.
Fiscal Policy Change
0.26
780 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — South Korea
65 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2024
National Assembly Elections — Opposition Wins Supermajority
elections and voting
2024
Yoon Declares Emergency Martial Law — Reversed Within Hours
executive power consolidation
2024
National Assembly Impeaches President Yoon Suk-yeol
constitutional change
2022
Yoon Suk-yeol Elected President — Narrowest Victory in History
elections and voting
2022
Itaewon Crowd Crush — 159 Dead at Halloween Gathering
humanitarian crisis
2020
COVID-19 — South Korea's K-Quarantine Model Goes Global
public health reform
2020
Parasite Wins Best Picture — First Non-English Film at Oscars
cultural and heritage
2018
PyeongChang Olympics and Inter-Korean Diplomatic Breakthrough
bilateral treaty
2018
MeToo Movement Reshapes South Korean Public Life
human rights reform
2017
Constitutional Court Upholds Impeachment — Park Removed
transitional justice
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.