Belgium
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Belgium's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Fiscal Policy Change (38736 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Government Formation and Bilateral Treaty. Across all categories, 215,008 precedent windows were identified — meaning Belgium's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Fiscal Policy Change
0.77
38736 prec.
Government Formation
0.62
40542 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.60
37705 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.38
14462 prec.
Military Policy And Reform
0.32
16777 prec.
Social Policy Reform
0.14
18867 prec.
Environmental Policy
0.02
8865 prec.
Energy Policy
0.00
9569 prec.
Cultural And Heritage
-0.01
7237 prec.
Sport And International Event
-0.01
8697 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Belgium
44 events (1990–present)1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
Bart De Wever Becomes First Flemish Nationalist Prime Minister
government formation
2025
Belgium Reverses Nuclear Phase-Out With New Expansion Law
energy policy
2024
Federal Elections Confirm Rightward Shift in Flanders
elections and voting
2022
Lumumba's Remains Returned to Congo in Colonial Reckoning
transitional justice
2022
Colonial Reckoning Commission Fails to Approve Formal Apology
transitional justice
2022
Belgium Extends Two Nuclear Reactors Amid Energy Crisis
energy policy
2021
Catastrophic Floods Kill 39 in Wallonia
flood and cyclone
2020
COVID-19 Pandemic Devastates Belgian Care Homes
epidemic and pandemic
2020
De Croo Vivaldi Coalition Formed After 493-Day Negotiations
government formation
2020
King Philippe Expresses Regrets for Colonial Past in Congo
transitional justice
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.