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Sweden

MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026

Sweden's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Fiscal Policy Change (3167 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Bilateral Treaty and Government Formation. Across all categories, 15,789 precedent windows were identified — meaning Sweden's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.

Risk Breakdown by Category

Fiscal Policy Change
0.53
3167 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.47
4768 prec.
Government Formation
0.40
4571 prec.
Social Policy Reform
0.08
1564 prec.
Cultural And Heritage
-0.07
321 prec.
Environmental Policy
-0.11
607 prec.
Military Policy And Reform
-0.31
560 prec.
Energy Policy
-0.55
231 prec.

Top Precedents by Pattern Tier

RankCategorySaliencePrecedentsLast Event
1Fiscal Policy Change0.5721322025
2Bilateral Treaty0.4931502025
3Government Formation0.4129152022
4Social Policy Reform0.0910762025
5Cultural And Heritage-0.081002018
6Environmental Policy-0.162372018
7Military Policy And Reform-0.203822025
8Energy Policy-0.372521980
Explore full precedent evidence for Sweden→

QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.