Switzerland
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Switzerland's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Fiscal Policy Change (2945 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Government Formation and Social Policy Reform. Across all categories, 10,709 precedent windows were identified — meaning Switzerland's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Switzerland
46 events (1990–present)1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
Neutrality Debate Intensifies Over Arms Re-Export Policy
military policy and reform
2024
Burgenstock Summit on Ukraine Peace Hosted by Switzerland
peacekeeping and peace process
2024
Swiss-EU Relations Reset with New Bilateral Package Negotiations
bilateral treaty
2023
Credit Suisse Collapses and Is Absorbed by UBS
banking and financial crisis
2023
Climate Protection Act Approved in Referendum
climate agreement
2023
OECD Minimum Tax Approved by Voters
fiscal policy change
2022
Switzerland Adopts EU Sanctions Against Russia Over Ukraine
sanctions and arms embargo
2022
Switzerland Wins Non-Permanent UN Security Council Seat
multilateral agreement
2021
Switzerland Unilaterally Terminates EU Framework Agreement
diplomatic rupture
2021
Burka Ban Narrowly Approved in National Referendum
religious and social movement
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.