United Kingdom
HIGH RISKVerified events
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
United Kingdom's economic indicators show elevated risk signals. The strongest signal is in Terrorist Attack (609 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Constitutional Change and Fiscal Policy Change. Across all categories, 5,548 precedent windows were identified — meaning United Kingdom's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Terrorist Attack
0.90
609 prec.
Constitutional Change
0.73
569 prec.
Fiscal Policy Change
0.70
573 prec.
Civil War And Insurgency
0.66
293 prec.
Mass Protest
0.60
499 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.58
746 prec.
Elections And Voting
0.55
373 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.39
528 prec.
Human Rights Reform
0.36
288 prec.
Economic Recession
0.32
339 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — United Kingdom
97 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
UK-EU Reset Pursues Closer Security and Trade Cooperation
regional integration
2025
NHS Waiting List Crisis at Record 7 Million Drives Reform Agenda
public health reform
2024
Labour Wins Historic Landslide Ending 14 Years of Conservative Rule
elections and voting
2024
Far-Right Riots Erupt Across England After Southport Stabbing
ethnic and communal conflict
2023
Unprecedented NHS and Public Sector Strikes Over Pay
labor action
2023
Windsor Framework Resolves Some Northern Ireland Post-Brexit Trade Issues
bilateral treaty
2022
Death of Queen Elizabeth II After 70-Year Reign; Charles III Accedes
constitutional change
2022
Truss Mini-Budget Triggers Market Crash and Shortest Premiership Ever
fiscal policy change
2022
Cost of Living Crisis: Energy Bills Soar After Ukraine Invasion
energy policy
2021
UK COVID Vaccine Rollout Leads the World with Record Speed
public health reform
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.