Vietnam
MODERATE RISKVerified events
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Vietnam's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Epidemic And Pandemic (270 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Economic Recession and Bilateral Treaty. Across all categories, 1,700 precedent windows were identified — meaning Vietnam's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.76
270 prec.
Economic Recession
0.60
178 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.56
330 prec.
Civil War And Insurgency
0.53
71 prec.
Political Corruption
0.37
50 prec.
Constitutional Change
0.26
161 prec.
Economic Growth Milestone
0.21
51 prec.
Government Formation
0.19
170 prec.
Political Repression
0.11
117 prec.
Multilateral Agreement
0.09
84 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Vietnam
79 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
To Lam Consolidates Power; Digital Economy Exceeds $45 Billion
technology and digital
2025
Vietnam Infrastructure Investment Accelerates Toward High-Income Status Goal
infrastructure and urban development
2024
Nguyen Phu Trong Dies; To Lam Becomes General Secretary
government formation
2024
Vietnam Semiconductor Ambitions; GDP Growth Tops ASEAN
economic growth milestone
2023
U.S.-Vietnam Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Upgrade; Apple Expands Manufacturing
bilateral treaty
2023
Senior Leadership Purge Through Anti-Corruption Campaign
political corruption
2022
Anti-Corruption Prosecutions Intensify; Record FDI; Post-COVID Recovery
political corruption
2021
Thirteenth Party Congress Reelects Trong; Delta Wave COVID Crisis; Renewable Energy Boom
public health and epidemics
2020
Vietnam Successfully Contains Initial COVID-19; Chairs ASEAN and UN Security Council
public health and epidemics
2020
RCEP Trade Agreement Signed
trade and commerce
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.