Yemen
INDICATIVE RISKVerified events
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Yemen's economic indicators show baseline risk signals. The strongest signal is in Civil War And Insurgency (0 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Social Policy Reform and Bilateral Treaty. Across all categories, 0 precedent windows were identified — meaning Yemen's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Yemen
149 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
Ceasefire Negotiations and Political Transition Discussions
peacekeeping and peace process
2025
Southern Yemen — Separatist Aspirations Persist
social movements and protest
2024
Houthi Red Sea Attacks — Disrupting Global Shipping
civil war and insurgency
2024
US-UK Military Strikes on Houthi Infrastructure
foreign intervention
2023
Saudi-Iran Normalization and Yemen Peace Prospects
bilateral treaty
2023
Humanitarian Situation Remains Catastrophic Despite Reduced Fighting
social welfare and poverty
2023
Houthi Movement Consolidates Governance in Northern Yemen
government formation
2022
UN-Brokered Truce — First Significant Ceasefire
peacekeeping and peace process
2022
Abu Dhabi Houthi Drone Attack
civil war and insurgency
2022
Presidential Leadership Council Replaces Hadi Government
government formation
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.