Algeria
MODERATE RISKVerified events
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Algeria's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Mass Protest (20663 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Elections And Voting and Political Repression. Across all categories, 216,832 precedent windows were identified — meaning Algeria's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Mass Protest
0.82
20663 prec.
Elections And Voting
0.79
22375 prec.
Political Repression
0.75
16180 prec.
Fiscal Policy Change
0.67
25972 prec.
Terrorist Attack
0.63
13383 prec.
Constitutional Change
0.56
19423 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.41
15636 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.38
15076 prec.
Government Formation
0.33
19952 prec.
Territorial Disputes
0.29
8062 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Algeria
132 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2024
Tebboune re-elected with 94% in September presidential vote
elections and voting
2024
Algeria expels French ambassador and military attachés
diplomatic rupture
2024
Algeria launches Trans-Saharan gas pipeline project with Nigeria
energy policy and resources
2024
Algeria cracks down on journalists and online activists
media and press freedom
2023
Algeria assumes presidency of Arab League
multilateral agreement
2023
Tebboune announces 2024 early presidential election
elections and voting
2022
Algeria benefits from European energy crisis following Ukraine war
energy policy and resources
2022
Algeria joins BRICS+ discussions; deepens ties with Russia and China
multilateral agreement
2022
Morocco-Algeria crisis deepens; mutual accusations multiply
territorial disputes
2021
Catastrophic wildfires kill dozens in Kabylie
natural disaster
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.