Cambodia
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Cambodia's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Fiscal Policy Change (31774 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Mass Protest and Bilateral Treaty. Across all categories, 157,367 precedent windows were identified — meaning Cambodia's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Fiscal Policy Change
0.56
31774 prec.
Mass Protest
0.41
19398 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.35
29974 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.28
19597 prec.
Civil War And Insurgency
0.22
18644 prec.
Democratic Transition
0.21
19806 prec.
Flood And Cyclone
-0.02
10924 prec.
Foreign Intervention
-1.53
4714 prec.
Territorial Disputes
-1.64
2536 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Cambodia
62 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2024
Cambodia Breaks Ground on Funan Techo Canal
Economic Reform
2023
Hun Manet Succeeds Father Hun Sen as Prime Minister
Political Transition
2023
Kem Sokha Convicted of Treason, Sentenced to 27 Years
Political Transition
2022
Scam Compound Industry Exposed: Trafficking on Industrial Scale
Social Movement
2021
China Constructs Naval Facilities at Ream Naval Base
Military Conflict
2020
EU Partially Withdraws EBA Trade Preferences from Cambodia
Economic Reform
2019
ECCC Convicts Nuon Chea and Khieu Samphan of Genocide
Political Transition
2018
CPP Wins All 125 Parliamentary Seats; EU Initiates EBA Withdrawal
Political Transition
2017
Supreme Court Dissolves Main Opposition Party CNRP
Political Transition
2014
Security Forces Kill Garment Workers in Strike Crackdown
Social Movement
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.