Cameroon
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Cameroon's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Fiscal Policy Change (36633 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Civil War And Insurgency and Democratic Transition. Across all categories, 290,535 precedent windows were identified — meaning Cameroon's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Fiscal Policy Change
0.90
36633 prec.
Civil War And Insurgency
0.74
19365 prec.
Democratic Transition
0.50
23982 prec.
Government Formation
0.44
28353 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.38
17361 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.32
29041 prec.
Economic Recession
0.32
17379 prec.
Human Rights Violation
0.31
18097 prec.
Military Policy And Reform
0.17
16028 prec.
Mass Protest
0.17
16631 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Cameroon
50 events (1990–present)1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
Constitutional Council Certifies Biya for 2025 Election Cycle
elections and voting
2024
Legislative and Municipal Elections Held
elections and voting
2024
Cholera Outbreak Strikes Multiple Regions
humanitarian crisis
2023
Biya's Prolonged Absences Spark Succession Debate
executive transition
2023
Separatist Factions Fragment in Anglophone Regions
civil war and insurgency
2022
Cameroon Hosts Africa Cup of Nations
diplomatic relations
2022
Anglophone Crisis Displaces Over 700,000
migration and refugees
2021
School Attacks Escalate in Anglophone Regions
civil war and insurgency
2021
Far North Humanitarian Crisis Deepens
humanitarian crisis
2020
First Regional Elections Held Under Decentralization
elections and voting
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.