Colombia
MODERATE RISKVerified events
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Colombia's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Human Rights Violation (13159 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Civil War And Insurgency and Political Corruption. Across all categories, 134,752 precedent windows were identified — meaning Colombia's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Human Rights Violation
0.95
13159 prec.
Civil War And Insurgency
0.94
10576 prec.
Political Corruption
0.76
9325 prec.
Terrorist Attack
0.75
6872 prec.
Elections And Voting
0.74
13298 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.70
27005 prec.
Mass Protest
0.56
6937 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.48
7083 prec.
Constitutional Change
0.48
9100 prec.
Migration And Refugees
0.44
9090 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Colombia
78 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2024
COP16 Biodiversity Conference Hosted in Cali
climate agreement
2022
Gustavo Petro Elected Colombia's First Leftist President
elections and voting
2022
Colombia Decriminalizes Abortion Up to 24 Weeks
human rights reform
2022
Petro's 'Paz Total' Policy Launched: Simultaneous Peace Talks
bilateral treaty
2021
Paro Nacional 2021: Weeks of Protests; 40+ Killed
mass protest
2020
COVID-19 Pandemic: 130,000+ Dead; Economy Contracts 6.8%
epidemic and pandemic
2020
Colombia Joins OECD as Full Member
multilateral agreement
2019
National Strike Mobilizes Millions Against Duque Government
mass protest
2018
Iván Duque Elected; Dissident FARC Factions Return to Arms
civil war and insurgency
2018
Venezuelan Migration Crisis: Over One Million Refugees in Colombia
migration and refugees
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.