Cyprus
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Cyprus's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Economic Growth (5404 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Economic Recovery and Economic Reform. Across all categories, 36,128 precedent windows were identified — meaning Cyprus's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Economic Growth
0.78
5404 prec.
Economic Recovery
0.75
5347 prec.
Economic Reform
0.50
2946 prec.
Economic Diversification
0.41
2130 prec.
Environmental Initiative
0.37
5727 prec.
Digital Transformation
0.33
3491 prec.
Environmental Conservation
0.32
3580 prec.
Healthcare Improvement
0.27
2881 prec.
Covid19 Pandemic
0.25
1224 prec.
Environmental Awareness
0.23
1804 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Cyprus
44 events (1990–present)1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
Geneva informal meeting produces confidence-building agreement
peacekeeping and peace process
2024
Guterres hosts Christodoulides-Tatar dinner in New York
peacekeeping and peace process
2023
Nikos Christodoulides elected president as independent candidate
elections and voting
2022
United States withdraws support for EastMed pipeline project
energy policy
2021
Informal Cyprus talks in Geneva fail to find common ground
peacekeeping and peace process
2021
Turkey announces further opening of Varosha despite international opposition
territorial disputes
2020
Cyprus-Greece-Israel sign EastMed pipeline intergovernmental agreement
energy policy
2020
Ersin Tatar elected Turkish Cypriot leader on two-state platform
elections and voting
2020
Turkey partially reopens Varosha ghost town provoking UN condemnation
territorial disputes
2020
Cyprus citizenship-by-investment scheme suspended amid corruption scandal
political corruption
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.