Czechia
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Czechia's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Fiscal Policy Change (27694 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Elections And Voting and Military Policy And Reform. Across all categories, 200,171 precedent windows were identified — meaning Czechia's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Fiscal Policy Change
0.92
27694 prec.
Elections And Voting
0.71
17075 prec.
Military Policy And Reform
0.65
15060 prec.
Government Formation
0.64
31235 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.58
28806 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.46
11147 prec.
Human Rights Violation
0.40
9954 prec.
Constitutional Change
0.36
9621 prec.
Democratic Transition
0.35
10494 prec.
Mass Protest
0.32
7135 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Czechia
61 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2024
Czech-Led Artillery Initiative Delivers 500,000 Shells to Ukraine
foreign aid and development
2024
South Korea's KHNP Wins Dukovany Nuclear Expansion Contract
energy policy
2024
Czech Ice Hockey World Championship Won on Home Ice
sport and international event
2023
Petr Pavel Elected President, Defeating Babiš
elections and voting
2023
Mass Shooting at Charles University — Deadliest in Czech History
political violence
2022
Czech Republic Leads European Military Support for Ukraine
foreign aid and development
2022
Energy Crisis and Inflation Surge After Russia Invades Ukraine
energy policy
2021
Vrbětice Explosion Linked to Russian GRU, 18 Diplomats Expelled
diplomatic rupture
2021
SPOLU Coalition Defeats Babiš, Fiala Becomes Prime Minister
elections and voting
2019
Million Moments Protests Largest Since 1989
mass protest
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.