Angola
HIGH RISKVerified events
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Angola's economic indicators show elevated risk signals. The strongest signal is in Civil War And Insurgency (9416 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Political Corruption and Elections And Voting. Across all categories, 101,223 precedent windows were identified — meaning Angola's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Civil War And Insurgency
0.84
9416 prec.
Political Corruption
0.82
9499 prec.
Elections And Voting
0.70
11859 prec.
Economic Recession
0.60
7526 prec.
Foreign Intervention
0.60
5336 prec.
Political Repression
0.58
6759 prec.
Mass Protest
0.44
6509 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.44
10735 prec.
Constitutional Change
0.31
7392 prec.
Democratic Transition
0.31
2478 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Angola
52 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2024
Angola-US Strategic Partnership Deepens — New Energy Geopolitics
bilateral treaty
2023
Angola Withdraws from OPEC — First African Member to Exit
oil and gas
2023
Lobito Trans-African Corridor Project Launched with US-EU Backing
infrastructure project
2022
MPLA Narrowly Wins Most Contested Election Since Independence
elections and voting
2022
Russia-Ukraine War Windfall and OPEC Tensions
oil and gas
2021
Southern Angola Worst Drought in 40 Years
drought and famine
2020
Luanda Leaks Expose Isabel dos Santos's $2 Billion Asset Extraction
political corruption
2020
Angola Restructures Chinese Debt Amid COVID-19 Crisis
banking and financial crisis
2018
Anti-Corruption Campaign: Isabel dos Santos Removed from Sonangol
political corruption
2017
Joao Lourenco Elected President — Dos Santos Steps Down After 38 Years
elections and voting
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.