Dominican Republic
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Dominican Republic's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Fiscal Policy Change (32209 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Government Formation and Bilateral Treaty. Across all categories, 189,532 precedent windows were identified — meaning Dominican Republic's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Fiscal Policy Change
0.83
32209 prec.
Government Formation
0.57
34218 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.50
27122 prec.
Migration And Refugees
0.46
10156 prec.
Human Rights Violation
0.44
14708 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.44
12277 prec.
Civil War And Insurgency
0.10
7130 prec.
Flood And Cyclone
0.08
6581 prec.
Social Policy Reform
0.07
10921 prec.
Infrastructure Project
0.04
14695 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Dominican Republic
55 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2024
Luis Abinader Re-elected in First-Round Victory with 57% — PRM Supermajority
elections and voting
2023
Border Wall Construction Accelerates — DR Closes Border Over Canal Dispute
diplomatic rupture
2022
Tourism Breaks All Records — 8 Million Arrivals, Full Pandemic Recovery
economic recovery
2022
Haitian Gang Violence Drives Unprecedented Migration Crisis
migration and refugees
2021
Major Anti-Corruption Prosecutions Begin Under Attorney General Germán
transitional justice
2020
Luis Abinader Wins Election — 16 Years of PLD Rule Ended
elections and voting
2020
COVID-19 Devastates Tourism — GDP Falls 6.7%
epidemic and pandemic
2018
Marcha Verde Anti-Corruption Movement Forces Medina to Abandon Third Term Bid
mass protest
2016
Odebrecht Scandal — $92 Million in Bribes to Dominican Officials Confirmed
political corruption
2015
Deportation Crisis After Regularization Deadline — CARICOM Suspends DR
migration and refugees
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.