Egypt
HIGH RISKVerified events
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Egypt's economic indicators show elevated risk signals. The strongest signal is in Terrorist Attack (14071 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Civil War And Insurgency and Economic Recession. Across all categories, 153,169 precedent windows were identified — meaning Egypt's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Terrorist Attack
1.13
14071 prec.
Civil War And Insurgency
1.07
12685 prec.
Economic Recession
1.00
15800 prec.
Fiscal Policy Change
0.92
19098 prec.
Mass Protest
0.90
13813 prec.
Human Rights Violation
0.78
12148 prec.
Elections And Voting
0.73
15931 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.70
15453 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.55
16653 prec.
Political Repression
0.55
6062 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Egypt
163 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2024
Egypt-IMF Deal Expanded to $8 Billion; UAE Ras el-Hekma Investment
fiscal policy change
2024
Egypt Deepens Mediation Role in Gaza Conflict
peacekeeping and peace process
2024
Rafah Crossing Crisis Over Gaza Aid
bilateral treaty
2023
Gaza War Creates Refugee and Diplomatic Crisis for Egypt
bilateral treaty
2023
Egypt's Economy Faces Currency Shortage and Inflation
currency crisis
2022
Egypt Hosts COP27 Climate Conference in Sharm el-Sheikh
environmental policy
2022
Egyptian Pound Crisis: Second Major Devaluation
currency crisis
2022
Russia-Ukraine War Worsens Egypt's Food Crisis
economic recession
2021
Ever Given Container Ship Blocks Suez Canal for Six Days
infrastructure and urban development
2021
Egypt Mediates Gaza-Israel Ceasefire
peacekeeping and peace process
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.