Finland
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Finland's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Fiscal Policy Change (28154 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Government Formation and Bilateral Treaty. Across all categories, 150,902 precedent windows were identified — meaning Finland's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Fiscal Policy Change
0.80
28154 prec.
Government Formation
0.55
29726 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.46
24466 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.42
10328 prec.
Social Policy Reform
0.19
19232 prec.
Military Policy And Reform
0.18
8623 prec.
Digital Policy
0.02
7048 prec.
Education Reform
0.01
8308 prec.
Energy Policy
-0.01
5701 prec.
Cultural And Heritage
-0.03
3293 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Finland
40 events (1990–present)1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
Finland's Eastern Border Remains Sealed Amid Ongoing Tensions
diplomatic rupture
2024
Alexander Stubb Elected President
elections and voting
2024
Finland Signs Defense Cooperation Agreement with United States
bilateral treaty
2024
Parliament Passes Controversial Emergency Border Law
migration and refugees
2023
Finland Officially Joins NATO as 31st Member
multilateral agreement
2023
Conservative Coalition Replaces Marin Government After Elections
elections and voting
2023
Olkiluoto 3 Nuclear Reactor Begins Regular Operation
energy policy
2023
Balticconnector Gas Pipeline Damaged by Chinese Vessel
infrastructure project
2023
Finland Closes Entire Eastern Border Over Russian Hybrid Warfare
migration and refugees
2022
Finland Applies for NATO Membership After Russia Invades Ukraine
military policy and reform
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.