Georgia
HIGH RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Georgia's economic indicators show elevated risk signals. The strongest signal is in Civil War And Insurgency (17179 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Fiscal Policy Change and Mass Protest. Across all categories, 175,620 precedent windows were identified — meaning Georgia's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Civil War And Insurgency
1.15
17179 prec.
Fiscal Policy Change
0.93
25347 prec.
Mass Protest
0.88
14736 prec.
Government Formation
0.71
30037 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.60
22604 prec.
Human Rights Violation
0.52
12062 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.32
8746 prec.
Migration And Refugees
0.26
8463 prec.
Trade Agreement
0.18
7482 prec.
Political Repression
0.17
8528 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Georgia
53 events (1990–present)1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
President Zourabichvili Refuses to Vacate Office
executive transition
2025
Expanded Foreign Agents Law Introduces Criminal Penalties
judicial reform
2024
Foreign Agents Law Enacted Despite Massive Protests
constitutional change
2024
Disputed October Parliamentary Elections Trigger Crisis
elections and voting
2024
Georgian Dream Suspends EU Accession Talks
diplomatic relations
2023
Foreign Influence Law Withdrawn After Mass Protests
protest and civil unrest
2023
EU Grants Georgia Candidate Status with Conditions
diplomatic relations
2022
Georgia Applies for EU Membership
diplomatic relations
2020
Disputed Parliamentary Elections Trigger Opposition Boycott
elections and voting
2019
Gavrilov Night Protests Erupt Over Russian Lawmaker Visit
protest and civil unrest
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.