Ghana
HIGH RISKVerified events
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Ghana's economic indicators show elevated risk signals. The strongest signal is in Elections And Voting (14338 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Fiscal Policy Change and Military Coup. Across all categories, 79,545 precedent windows were identified — meaning Ghana's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Elections And Voting
1.14
14338 prec.
Fiscal Policy Change
0.93
8422 prec.
Military Coup
0.83
1824 prec.
Democratic Transition
0.53
3540 prec.
Government Formation
0.51
10253 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.32
5680 prec.
Energy Policy
0.31
4741 prec.
Mass Protest
0.26
2750 prec.
Trade Agreement
0.22
4157 prec.
Constitutional Change
0.21
2888 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Ghana
65 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2025
Ghana Finalises External Debt Restructuring with Eurobond Holders
fiscal policy change
2025
Galamsey Illegal Mining Crisis Threatens Water and Cocoa Farmland
resource conflict
2024
John Mahama Wins Presidential Election — NDC Returns to Power
elections and voting
2023
Ghana Agrees $3 Billion IMF Extended Credit Facility
economic recovery
2022
Ghana Faces Worst Economic Crisis Since the 1980s — Cedi Loses Over 50 Percent
currency crisis
2022
Domestic Debt Exchange Restructures Government Bonds, Shocks Financial Sector
fiscal policy change
2021
Ghana First Country Globally to Receive COVAX Vaccines
public health reform
2020
Akufo-Addo Re-elected During COVID-19 Pandemic in Credible Poll
elections and voting
2018
Ghana Among First Signatories of African Continental Free Trade Area
trade agreement
2017
Free Senior High School Policy Launched — Major Education Overhaul
education reform
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.