Greece
MODERATE RISK
Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026
Greece's economic indicators show moderate risk signals. The strongest signal is in Elections And Voting (15501 historical precedent windows). Also notable: Fiscal Policy Change and Bilateral Treaty. Across all categories, 127,343 precedent windows were identified — meaning Greece's trajectory matches historical trajectories of countries that experienced these event types.
Risk Breakdown by Category
Elections And Voting
0.85
15501 prec.
Fiscal Policy Change
0.79
13202 prec.
Bilateral Treaty
0.74
21323 prec.
Economic Recession
0.62
10213 prec.
Democratic Transition
0.53
6859 prec.
Epidemic And Pandemic
0.51
9180 prec.
Terrorist Attack
0.49
7396 prec.
Migration And Refugees
0.48
8396 prec.
Government Formation
0.29
10642 prec.
Mass Protest
0.24
5223 prec.
Top Precedents by Pattern Tier
Curated Events — Greece
65 events (1990–present)1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
2024
Greece legalizes same-sex marriage, first Orthodox-majority country to do so
Civil Rights
2024
Greek economy outperforms eurozone average, credit rating restored to investment grade
Economic Recovery
2023
Tempi rail collision kills 57 in Greece's deadliest train disaster
Infrastructure Failure
2023
New Democracy wins enhanced majority in double elections despite Tempi controversy
Electoral Politics
2021
Historic wildfires ravage Evia island and Attica in record-breaking heat
Climate Disaster
2020
COVID-19 pandemic hits Greece; strict lockdown limits initial spread
Public Health Crisis
2020
Greek-Turkish tensions escalate over Eastern Mediterranean hydrocarbon exploration
Territorial Dispute
2019
New Democracy wins elections; Kyriakos Mitsotakis becomes Prime Minister
Electoral Politics
2018
Greece exits ESM bailout program after eight years of fiscal adjustment
Economic Recovery
2018
Prespa Agreement resolves 27-year Macedonia name dispute with North Macedonia
Peace Agreement
QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.