Countries/Haiti/Multilateral Agreement

Haiti

HIGH

Multilateral Agreement

Scoring: V1.8.1
Updated: 4/13/2026

Haiti shows moderate signals for multilateral agreement. 31,854 historical precedent windows were identified across 3 pattern length tiers. This means Haiti's economic indicators are following trajectories that, in other countries, preceded multilateral agreement events. The most recent matching event in the curated database was in 2024.

31,854
Precedent Windows
Historical trajectory matches
0.52
Peak Salience
Moderate signal
3
Active Tiers
of 4 pattern length tiers
2024
Last Event Year
Most recent matching event

Signal by Pattern Length Tier

Different pattern lengths capture different dynamics. Short patterns (3–8 years) detect policy cycles and fiscal crises. Long patterns (21+ years) detect structural and institutional trajectories.

S
Short-term (3–8 years)
3,660 precedents · salience=0.52
M
Medium-term (9–20 years)
9,757 precedents · salience=0.45
L
Long-term (21–40 years)
18,437 precedents · salience=0.47
XL
Institutional (41+ years)
No signal

What This Means

QGI found 31,854historical cases where other countries' economic indicators followed a trajectory that subsequently led to a multilateral agreement event. Haiti's current indicator trajectory matches these historical patterns.

This does not mean Haiti will experience multilateral agreement. It means the economic conditions that historically preceded such events in other countries are present in Haiti's current data. Analysts should examine the underlying evidence and apply domain expertise.

QGI surfaces economically-grounded risk candidates that analysts should examine. Risk tiers reflect historical precedent density, not probability forecasts.